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PO.8.167 Intercurrent infection as a risk factor for disease flares in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus
  1. F El Hadiyen1,
  2. M Tsang-A-Sjoe1,
  3. B Lissenberg-Witte2,
  4. A Voskuijl1 and
  5. I Bultink1
  1. 1Department of Rheumatology, Amsterdam Rheumatology and Immunology Center, Amsterdam UMC, VU University Medical Center ~ Amsterdam ~ Netherlands
  2. 2Department of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam UMC, VU University Medical Center ~ Amsterdam ~ Netherlands


Background Intercurrent infections are presumed potential triggers of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) disease flares.1 However, most of the evidence is obtained from a limited number of observational studies, and the results of these studies are conflicting.2,3

Purpose To determine whether intercurrent infections are a risk factor for disease flares in SLE.

Methods Demographic and clinical characteristics of 203 SLE patients from the Amsterdam SLE cohort were collected at baseline, and at the start of an intercurrent infection that either was or was not followed by a flare within three months. Relevant data regarding infections and flares were collected systematically by chart review. Major and minor infections were defined as, respectively: infections for which hospital admission or intravenous antibiotic therapy was required, and infections (proven or not proven, but highly likely based on clinical symptoms and/or response to therapy) for which hospital admission was not warranted. SLE flares were defined as an increase in disease activity requiring intensification of immunosuppressive therapy. Flares were categorized as major or minor depending on fulfillment of a predefined set of criteria.4 Incidence rates for infections, flares, and infections followed by a flare within three months were calculated using Poisson regression. Descriptive analyses were performed where appropriate. Proportional hazard models with recurrent events and time-varying covariates were used to estimate the hazard ratio of SLE flares.

Results Table 1 shows the demographic and clinical characteristics of all 203 SLE patients. Fifty-six major infections occurred in 1060 patient years, and 670 minor infections occurred in 1048 patient years. The incidence rates of major and minor infections were 5.3 per 100 patient years (95% CI: 4.1–6.9) and 63.9 per 100 patient years (95% CI: 59.3–69.0), respectively. In total, 198 flares occurred within 1060 patient years. The incidence rate of flares is 18.7 per 100 patient years (95% CI: 16.3–21.5), 3.6 per 100 patient years (95% CI: 2.6–4.9) for major flares and 15.1 per 100 patient years (95% CI: 12.9–17.6) for minor flares.

Intercurrent infections (major and minor) were associated with the occurrence of SLE flares (major and minor; HR 1.9, 95% CI: 1.3–2.9) (Figure 1). The hazard ratio for a major SLE flare following a major infection was 7.4 (95% CI 2.2–24.6). Major infections were not associated with the occurrence of minor flares.

Abstract PO.8.167 Table 1

Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics

Abstract PO.8.167 Figure 1

Estimated cumulative incidence of SLE flares (major and minor) following an intercurrent infection within three months

Conclusions The results of the present study confirm a high frequency of infections in SLE patients and suggest that intercurrent infection is a risk factor for SLE flares. These findings underline the importance of prevention and treatment of infections in SLE patients and create awareness of infections as potential triggers of SLE flares.


  1. Fernandez D, et al. Curr. Rheumatol. Rep. 2016;18(3):14.

  2. Bosch X, et al. Lupus. 2006;15(9):584–9.

  3. Tsai PH, et al. Lupus. 2020;29(2):191–8.

  4. Bootsma H, et al. Lancet. 1995;345(8965):1595–9.

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