Marker | Outcome | Study group | Subject/visit, n | Intercept (SE) | Slope estimate (SE) | P values | Marginal R2 (%) |
EC4d (log net MFI) | Clinical SELENA-SLEDAI | 1 | 37/384 | 2.52±1.55 | 0.94±0.46 | 0.042 | 2.0 |
2 | 64/126 | 1.81±1.05 | 1.36±0.40 | 0.001 | 10.3 | ||
3 | 23/102 | 0.09±0.57 | 0.74±0.25 | 0.005 | 10.7 | ||
1–3 | 124/612 | 1.49±0.76 | 1.17±0.27* | <0.001 | 5.7 | ||
PGA | 1 | 37/385 | 0.77±0.20 | 0.12±0.06 | 0.047 | 2.2 | |
2 | 64/128 | 0.75±0.15 | 0.18±0.06 | 0.002 | 8.7 | ||
3 | 23/106 | 0.50±0.24 | 0.10±0.11 | 0.363 | 1.4 | ||
1–3 | 124/619 | 0.64±0.11 | 0.17±0.04 | <0.001 | 5.6 | ||
Low complement C3/C4 | Clinical SELENA-SLEDAI | 1 | 37/383 | 4.32±0.73 | 1.72±0.61 | 0.005 | 2.7 |
2 | 64/127 | 4.65±0.46 | 1.46±0.74 | 0.052 | 3.6 | ||
3 | 23/103 | 1.47±0.28 | 0.71±0.48 | 0.148 | 2.8 | ||
1–3 | 124/613 | 3.80±0.35 | 1.68±0.42† | <0.001 | 3.7 | ||
PGA | 1 | 37/384 | 0.99±0.08 | 0.26±0.08 | 0.002 | 4.0 | |
2 | 64/127 | 1.11±0.06 | 0.27±0.10 | 0.010 | 5.7 | ||
3 | 23/107 | 0.58±0.11 | 0.47±0.17 | 0.007 | 9.1 | ||
1–3 | 124/618 | 0.95±0.05 | 0.31±0.06 | <0.001 | 5.9 | ||
Anti-dsDNA (log net MFI) | Clinical SELENA-SLEDAI | 1 | 37/379 | −1.11±1.43 | 1.27±0.26 | <0.001 | 17.4 |
2 | 64/126 | 2.03±1.03 | 0.97±0.30 | 0.002 | 9.7 | ||
3 | 23/102 | −0.94±1.44 | 1.01±0.55 | 0.070 | 4.6 | ||
1–3 | 124/607 | 0.44±0.65 | 1.08±0.15 | <0.001 | 18.2 | ||
PGA | 1 | 37/380 | 0.69±0.17 | 0.09±0.03 | 0.005 | 5.9 | |
2 | 64/128 | 0.83±0.15 | 0.11±0.04 | 0.009 | 6.3 | ||
3 | 23/106 | −0.52±0.52 | 0.47±0.20 | 0.019 | 7.6 | ||
1–3 | 124/614 | 0.68±0.09 | 0.10±0.02 | <0.001 | 8.3 | ||
Anti-C1q (log net MFI) | Clinical SELENA-SLEDAI | 1 | 37/383 | 1.50±1.18 | 1.27±0.32 | <0.001 | 6.6 |
2 | 64/126 | 2.38±0.98 | 1.28±0.42 | 0.003 | 8.3 | ||
3 | 23/102 | 1.08±0.57 | 0.34±0.30 | 0.265 | 2.1 | ||
1–3 | 124/611 | 1.55±0.60 | 1.24±0.22 | <0.001 | 9.9 | ||
PGA | 1 | 37/384 | 0.62±0.14 | 0.17±0.04 | <0.001 | 8.5 | |
2 | 64/128 | 0.91±0.14 | 0.13±0.06 | 0.029 | 4.3 | ||
3 | 23/106 | 0.76±0.24 | −0.04±0.12 | 0.765 | 0.2 | ||
1–3 | 124/618 | 0.70±0.09 | 0.15±0.03 | <0.001 | 7.5 |
Intercept, slope estimates, p values and marginal R2 are given.
*One log EC4d levels were associated with a 1.2-point in clinical SELENA-SLEDAI.
†Low C3/C4 status was associated with a 1.7-point clinical SELENA-SLEDAI.
dsDNA, double-stranded DNA; EC4d, erythrocyte-bound C4d; MFI, mean fluorescence intensity; PGA, Physicians Global Assessment; SELENA-SLEDAI, Safety of Estrogens in Lupus Erythematosus National Assessment—SLE Disease Activity Index.