Table 5

Comparison of sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV between risk calculators

Sensitivity
% (95% CI)
Specificity
% (95% CI)
PPV
% (95% CI)
NPV
% (95% CI)
QRISK3 >10%45.3 (32.8 to 58.2)79.5 (74.5 to 83.9)32.2 (25.1 to 40.3)87.1 (84.3 to 89.5)
QRISK3 >20%21.4 (12.5 to 32.9)94.6 (91.5 to 96.9)48.4 (32.8 to 64.8)83.8 (82.0 to 85.4)
ASCVD >10%12.2 (4.1 to 26.2)94.0 (88.1 to 97.6)41.7 (19.4 to 68.0)75.3 (72.9 to 77.5)
FRS >10%10.9 (4.5 to 21.3)92.8 (89.1 to 95.5)25.0 (12.9 to 42.9)82.5 (81.2 to 83.8)
Modified FRS >10%40.6 (28.5 to 53.6)72.1 (66.5 to 77.2)24.3 (18.5 to 13.3)84.6 (81.6 to 87.2)
High-risk PREDICTS73.4 (60.9 to 83.3)65.2 (59.6 to 70.6)30.9 (26.6 to 35.7)92.1 (88.4 to 94.6)
  • ASCVD, Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease; FRS, Framingham Risk Score; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; PREDICTS, Predictors of Risk for Elevated Flares, Damage Progression and Increased Cardiovascular Disease in Patients with SLE.