Abstract 504 Table 2

Performance of three cardiovascular risk prediction models

ModelIntegrated Time- Dependent AUCHarrell’s C- statisticOptimismOptimism- Corrected Harrel’s C-statisticYear 1 AUCYear 10 AUC
ASCVD onlyASCVD and selected SLE variablesASCVD onlyASCVD and selected SLE variablesASCVD onlyASCVD and selected SLE variables
1 0.71 0.77 0.76 0.02 0.73 0.60 0.68 0.65 0.69
2 0.65 0.67 0.67 0.01 0.66 0.60 0.60 0.64 0.64
3 0.69 0.76 0.76 0.03 0.73 0.60 0.68 0.65 0.70
  • Abbreviations: ASCVD, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; AUC, area under the curve